Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.981223 1.113949 1.258550 1.427877 1.620847 1.834058 2.087708
2025-12-28 0.790821 0.974639 1.192334 1.469584 1.813952 2.228494 2.766729
2026-01-04 0.657618 0.857528 1.108282 1.446749 1.893086 2.463510 3.251045
2026-01-11 0.585924 0.800123 1.081743 1.480486 2.032919 2.774781 3.852633
2026-01-18 0.522043 0.741714 1.042455 1.486203 2.127822 3.027287 4.393505
2026-01-25 0.463230 0.681649 0.991594 1.465999 2.178551 3.216529 4.857167
2026-02-01 0.410963 0.624213 0.936800 1.431422 2.200487 3.360637 5.262292
2026-02-08 0.366618 0.573312 0.885462 1.394766 2.212366 3.486279 5.646071
2026-02-15 0.340164 0.546823 0.867871 1.407175 2.299671 3.733852 6.245097
2026-02-22 0.313052 0.516344 0.840604 1.400336 2.353400 3.929878 6.775307
2026-03-01 0.286951 0.484857 0.808451 1.381538 2.383908 4.087905 7.253119
2026-03-08 0.257297 0.444614 0.758034 1.326524 2.346090 4.124177 7.517067
2026-03-15 0.233631 0.414745 0.726306 1.307923 2.383062 4.316885 8.129176
2026-03-22 0.220586 0.402709 0.725171 1.345469 2.528913 4.727454 9.212322
2026-03-29 0.200662 0.375899 0.694518 1.324634 2.562445 4.931876 9.921249
2026-04-05 0.189951 0.364960 0.691592 1.355431 2.697655 5.344187 11.095277
2026-04-12 0.177159 0.348614 0.676605 1.360650 2.782061 5.664651 12.119167
2026-04-19 0.163008 0.328090 0.651344 1.342206 2.815503 5.884217 12.954296
2026-04-26 0.148960 0.306325 0.621386 1.310641 2.817383 6.037021 13.660471
2026-05-03 0.136185 0.285890 0.592087 1.277174 2.811022 6.170507 14.338413
2026-05-10 0.128852 0.276160 0.583992 1.288504 2.904310 6.532652 15.593660
2026-05-17 0.120606 0.263644 0.568741 1.282260 2.956908 6.808338 16.677034
2026-05-24 0.112191 0.249940 0.549590 1.265097 2.982106 7.022981 17.637474